The impact of financial fragility on the growth of deposits in the Arab banking
Main Article Content
Abstract
Abstract: This research aims to measure the impact of financial fragility on deposits in the Arab banking sector for the period (2010-2024) in a group of Arab countries using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The results show a statistically significant, positive, long-term equilibrium relationship between the financial fragility index and Arab banking sector deposits (Altman Z-Score). Furthermore, the results indicate that the impact of financial fragility on banking sector deposits is cumulative and long-term, consistent with the hypothesis that depositors' decisions are based more on indicators of financial soundness and sustainable banking stability than on short-term fluctuations in financial fragility levels. The research recommends that banks adopt sustainable programs to improve their financial resilience (capital adequacy, asset quality, risk management) rather than short-term solutions, given that the impact of improved financial fragility on deposit volume is cumulative over the long term.
ا
Article Details

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
References
References:
- Bitar, Joseph, 2021, Foreign Currency Intermediation: Systemic Risk and Macroprudential Regulation, Latin American Journal of Central Banking, 2 (2021) 100028
-Boissay, Frédéric,2011, FINANCIAL IMBALANCES AND FINANCIAL FRAGILITY, European Central Bank, WORKING PAPER SERIES NO 1317 / APRIL 2011
-Capelle, Damien, Teoh, Ken,2025, Optimal Interest Rate Tightening with Financial Fragility, International Monetary Fund, IMF Working Paper, WP/25/35.
-Chen, Qi, Goldstein, Itay, Huang, Zeqiong, Vashishtha, Rahul,2024, LIQUIDITY TRANSFORMATION AND FRAGILITY IN THE US BANKING SECTOR, NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, Working Paper 27815
-Deidda, Luca G., Panetti, Ettore,2018, Banks’ Liquidity Management and Financial Fragility,European Central Bank.
-Diamond, Douglas W, Rajan, Raghuram G,2001, Liquidity Risk, Liquidity Creation, and Financial Fragility: A Theory of Banking, Journal of Political Economy , Vol. 109, No. 2.
-Drechsler, Itamar, Savov, Alexi, Schnabl, Philipp,2018, BANKING ON DEPOSITS: MATURITY TRANSFORMATION WITHOUT INTEREST RATE RISK, NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, Working Paper 24582
-Egan, Mark, Horta_csu, Ali, Matvos, Gregor,2015, Deposit Competition and Financial Fragility: Evidence from the US Banking Sector, American Economic Review The merican Economic Review (AER) , Published in volume 107, issue 1
-Fungacova, Zuzana, Turk, Rima, Weill, Laurent,2015, High Liquidity Creation and Bank Failures, International Monetary Fund, IMF Working Paper, WP/15/103
-Gennaioli, Nicola, Shleifer, Andrei, Vishny, Robert,2011, Neglected risks, financial innovation, and financial fragility, Harvard University’s DASH
-Haddad, Valentin, Hartman-Glaser, Barney, Muir, Tyler,2023, Bank Fragility when Depositors are the Asset, University of Pennsyivaniq
-Hasler, Andrea, Lusardi, Annamaria, Oggero, Noemi,2017, Financial Fragility in the US: Evidence and Implications, Financial Fragility in the US: Evidence andImplications,Globalfinancial LiteracyExcellnce Center
-Jiang, Erica Xuewei, Matvos, Gregor, Piskorski, Tomasz, Seru, Amit,2024, MONETARY TIGHTENING AND U.S. BANK FRAGILITY IN 2023: MARK-TO-MARKET LOSSES AND UNINSURED DEPOSITOR RUNS?, NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, Working Paper 31048
-Müller, Carola, Busch, Matias Ossandon, Sarmiento, Miguel, Pinzon-Puerto, Freddy,2025, Fragile wholesale deposits, liquidity risk, and banks’ maturity transformation, Bank for International Settlements BIS Working Papers No 1263.
-Pernell, Kim, Jung, Jiwook,2024, Rethinking moral hazard: government protection and bank risk-taking, Socio-Economic Review, 2024, Vol. 22, No. 2,
-Tosun, Bengü, Başar, Selim,2024, Financial Fragility in Developing Countries: An Analysis in the Context of Monetary Policy and Central Bank Independence1, Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, 2024, 1
- Vargas, Mauricio, Sanchez,2023, Taming Financial Dollarization: Determinants and Effective Policies, International Monetary Fund, IMF Working Paper, WP/23/244