استعمال المحاكاة في الانحدار الضبابي
محتوى المقالة الرئيسي
الملخص
يواجه المحلل جزءا من المشكلات عند اختبار دقة النموذج لتقدير معلمات نموذج الانحدار الضبابي ، لذا تم إنشاء متغيرات تتوزع توزيع طبيعي لتقليل خطأ التنبؤ عـــــــــــن طريــــــــــق استعمال الطريقة الأكثر شيوعا وهي طريقة (Box-Muller) ، والتي تعتمد على استراتيجيــــــــــــة إنشاء متغيرات غيــــــــــــــر منتظمة تتوزع توزيع قياسي (U (0,1 ، وبعد ذلك يتم تغيير هذه المتغيرات إلى متغيرات عشوائية حرة تأخذ بعد التشتت الطبيعي القياسي لتقييم معلمات البرهان وبالترتيب لتقليل خطأ التوقع هو الخطأ التربيعي العادي بين التركيزات المتوقعة والحقيقية التي توضح الدقة وتظهر الغموض التي تتحدث عن الضعف في إظهار التوقعات. كلما انخفضت هذه القيم ، كان أداء العرض متفوقا من حيث الدقة والجودة التي لا تتزعزع
تفاصيل المقالة
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المراجع
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